US experts think Taiwan Strait crisis likely in 2024 | Taiwan News

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — A new study by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) found a majority of U.S. and Taiwanese experts believe that a Taiwan Strait crisis is likely in 2024, that China is capable of imposing a blockade on Taiwan, but that it is not currently capable of launching an amphibious invasion. Taiwan News

Global support for economic break with China if it invades Taiwan

A total of 26 countries saw the majority of their respondents support cutting economic ties with China in the case of an invasion, with the highest levels of support registered in the United Kingdom, Denmark, and Japan respectively. Sweden, Australia, the United States, Canada, and several European countries followed suit.

Confidence in Tsai’s preparations if Taiwan attacked by China down 11%

In a new poll released on Tuesday (May 25), nearly half of respondents said that President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) has not done enough to prepare Taiwan for an invasion by China, and the proportion expressing confidence in her preparations has dropped by 11% since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Poll asked, Is the government fully prepared if China attacked Taiwan?

30.6%Mostly Inadequate
18.9%Very Inadequate
25.7%Mostly Adequate
7.1%Very Adequate
4.4%No Opinion
13.2%Do not Know
The survey was conducted for the TPOF by Focus Survey Research (山水民意研究公司) from May 16-17. The poll gathered valid responses via telephone from 1,077 adults 20 and over and had a sampling error of plus or minus 2.99% with a confidence level of 95%.

Same-sex marriage support still up substantially since 2018

As Taiwan approaches the third anniversary of its legalization of same-sex marriage on May 24, support for the right of gay couples to wed has risen to 60.9 percent, still up substantially from four years earlier, according to the results of a new survey released Sunday.

%Same-sex Marriage Survey in Taiwan
60.9Support for the right of gay couples to wed
71Same-sex married couples should have the right to adopt children
71.8Agreed that same-sex couples can raise children just as well as opposite-sex couples
76.5Transgender people should dress in whatever way they feel comfortable at school or work
89.4No problem with having a transgender coworker
The Gender Equality Committee’s survey was conducted by telephone from May 4-6 with 1,076 valid responses from people aged 20 and older. It had a confidence level of 95 percent and a margin of error of plus or minus 2.99 percentage points.

Majority of adults would take up arms if China invaded

More than half of the adults in Taiwan would be willing to take up arms if China attacked the country, a survey conducted and released by the Association of Chinese Elite Leadership (ACEL) suggested Friday.

Survey Results
61.4% Willing to take up arms to defend Taiwan
25.1% Would Not

The ACEL poll was conducted from May 18-, targeting individuals aged 20 or older.
The poll received 1,073 valid samples, with interviews conducted via telephone, and has a margin of error of 2.98 percent, with a 95 percent level of confidence.